In an unusual turn, Marvel’s Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania is quickly losing steam at the box office, with the movie experiencing the second-worst drop of any MCU title. Meanwhile, two lower-budget films – Cocaine Bear and Jesus Revolution – are rising above their projections in their opening weekend.
Although the Ant-Man threequel saw the best opening ever, the plummeting viewership indicates a front-loaded success; the film has received a B on CinemaScore and an underwhelming audience reaction with little desire for repeated viewing. The movie is expected to gross &30-$32 million this weekend.
Universal’s R-rated Cocaine Bear, directed by Elizabeth Banks, worked with a budget in the low $30Ms and was initially projected to open in the high teens, but has already raked in $21.2 million. This overperformance is despite a B- on CinemaScore – although other popular releases, M3GAN, only had a B as well – and the film took first place at the box office on Friday over Ant-Man with $8.3 million.
Lionsgate’s Jesus Revolution was budgeted under $15 million and is estimated to gross $14.5 million over the weekend after an initial projection in the single digits. The film has a 99% rating on Rotten Tomatoes, an A+ CinemaScore, and PostTrak exits at 97% positive and 89% recommend.
Top 10 Weekend Projections:
1.) Ant-man and the Wasp Quantumania – 3-day $30M-$32M (-70% to -72%)
2.) Cocaine Bear – 3-day $21.2M
3.) Jesus Revolution – 3-day $14.5M
4.) Avatar: The Way of Water – 3-day $4.8M (-27%)
5.) Puss in Boots: Last Wish – 3-day $4M (-24%)
6.) Magic Mike’s Last Dance – 3-day $2.7M (-50%)
7.) Knock at the Cabin – 3-day $1.77M (-55%)
8.) 80 for Brady – 3-day $1.7M (-55%)
9.) Missing – 3-day $1M (-41%)
10.) A Man Called Otto – 3-day $810K (-49%)
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